2 Oct · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1492
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 64% (78)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.