2 Oct · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1491
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chlad
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1392
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (58)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H15-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-5)