2 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1491
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1564
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)