2 Oct · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1656
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Macurak
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1552
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)