2 Oct · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1685
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benak
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1662
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.