2 Oct · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1584
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H132-84
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.