2 Oct · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1649
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sikora
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1568
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)