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02 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1562
3-1Final setsMolka won
MGMateusz Galus
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1593
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Galus at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Galus favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 79.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Galus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Galus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Galus.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 43% → final 98%
Mateusz Galus ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsMolka recovered from 18%70 points · 4 games