2 Oct · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1568
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rak
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1524
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.