2 Oct · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1479
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jnr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1448
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 65% (120)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H17-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.