2 Oct · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1392
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1503
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)