2 Oct · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1553
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Muska
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1589
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka🌟Muska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (31)
Fair odds · Muska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.