2 Oct · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1626
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stehlik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1553
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka
Fair odds · Stehlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)