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02 Oct · 14:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VNVaclav Nadvornik
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1696
3-1Final setsNadvornik won
DVDavid Vesecky
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1625
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nadvornik at 55%. The actual result was Vaclav Nadvornik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vaclav Nadvornik favoured — closing 1.84
Favourite won
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Vaclav Nadvornik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Vaclav Nadvornik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Nadvornik is favoured to win, below means David Vesecky.

▲ Vaclav Nadvornikpre 59% → final 100%
David Vesecky ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsNadvornik recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games