2 Oct · 22:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1430
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jonas
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1332
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Jonas goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Jonas
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)