3 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1498
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1417
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)