3 Oct · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1618
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skvrna
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1613
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (103)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H37-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.