3 Oct · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1498
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Stempak
ELO 1418
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)