3 Oct · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1450
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chlumsky
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1420
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.