3 Oct · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1602
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)