3 Oct · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1739
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
67%
33%
🌟Marsalek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+217
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)