3 Oct · 12:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1519
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volny
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1522
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (58)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.