3 Oct · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1472
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kral
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1420
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 73% (91)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H64-80
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.