3 Oct · 10:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1518
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1517
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marsalek🌟Marsalek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.