3 Oct · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1420
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1507
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (65)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H55-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-47)