3 Oct · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wloszek
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1512
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H16-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.