3 Oct · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1647
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lysakowski
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1550
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H71-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-45)