3 Oct · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1625
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Macurak
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1579
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (101)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H14-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.