3 Oct · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1580
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Moravec
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1495
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (82)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)