03 Oct · 20:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1631
3-2Final setsGuzy won
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1502
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 63%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 3-2 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.45
Total 75.5
88 points played
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kos.
▲ Karol Guzypre 67% → final 80%
Pawel Kos ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 5 games