4 Oct · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lorenc
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 64% (56)
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.