4 Oct · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1577
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skalicky
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1578
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skalicky🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (104)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.