4 Oct · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1525
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Martin
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Martin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)