4 Oct · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1629
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mastera
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1541
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holub🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (19)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)