4 Oct · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1482
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rissky
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Rissky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Rissky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.