4 Oct · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benak
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1608
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H23-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.