4 Oct · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1623
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stehlik
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1561
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Trnka🌟Stehlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (14)
Fair odds · Stehlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)