4 Oct · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1602
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chaloupka
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1570
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H13-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.