4 Oct · 10:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1578
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skalicky
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1570
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.