4 Oct · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1608
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Benak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H9-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.