4 Oct · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1696
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nadvornik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1691
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.