4 Oct · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1455
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (95)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.