04 Oct · 13:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1586
1-3Final setsKos won
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1497
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 59%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Guzy favoured — closing 1.42
Total 74.5
79 points played
Set handicap
Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Guzy −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kos.
▲ Karol Guzypre 63% → final 79%
Pawel Kos ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsGuzy recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games