04 Oct · 14:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1614
3-0Final setsDvorak won
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1688
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kocab at 57%. The actual result was Petr Dvorak 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Kocab favoured — closing 1.74
Set handicap
Jan Kocab −1.5 sets
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr Dvorak is favoured to win, below means Jan Kocab.
▲ Petr Dvorakpre 39% → final 89%
Jan Kocab ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsDvorak recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games