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04 Oct · 16:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1540
3-0Final setsMolka won
JMJan Masternak
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molka at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Molka favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 80.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Molka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Molka −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Jan Masternak.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 57% → final 96%
Jan Masternak ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts52 points · 3 games