Mateusz Burkacki vs Michal Lysakowski

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04 Oct · 17:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1479

3-1Final setsBurkacki won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1596

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Burkacki 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.47

Upset

Total 78.5

75 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Burkacki is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Mateusz Burkackipre 36% → final 87%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 78 ptsBurkacki recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games