Bartlomiej Molka vs Michal Lysakowski

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04 Oct · 19:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka

ELO 1540

3-1Final setsMolka won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1602

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 56%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-1 — the underdog won.

Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.45

Upset

Total 78.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 47% → final 88%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 55 ptsMolka recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games