5 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1566
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Matus
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1492
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 64% (56)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)