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04 Oct · 21:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JOJan Oleksik
🇨🇿Jan Oleksik
ELO 1457
3-2Final setsOleksik won
MDMiroslav Dolezal
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dolezal at 51%. The actual result was Jan Oleksik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Dolezal favoured — closing 1.69
Upset
Total 75.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Dolezal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslav Dolezal −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Oleksik is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Dolezal.

▲ Jan Oleksikpre 45% → final 5%
Miroslav Dolezal ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsDolezal recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games