5 Oct · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1570
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Slavik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1568
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (63)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.